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Liberia: Peace Process Implementation

AfricaFocus Bulletin
Nov 12, 2003 (031112)
(Reposted from sources cited below)

Editor's Note

Implementation of the latest peace agreement in Liberia is now at a critical stage. While the nation's capital Monrovia is generally calm, insecurity continues in much of the countryside. The chances of further enhancing stability and of advancing rapidly in reconstruction depend not only on Liberians, but also on regional and international commitments.

This issue of AfricaFocus Bulletin contains summaries of recent reports from the International Crisis Group and Human Rights Watch, as well as an update on the new humanitarian appeal from UN agencies expected to be launched next week.

++++++++++++++++++++++end editor's note+++++++++++++++++++++++

International Crisis Group
http://www.crisisweb.org

Liberia: Security Challenges

Freetown/Brussels, 3 November 2003: Liberia faces its best chance for peace in years, but the country's prospects now depend on bold UN action. With three peacekeeping missions along the coast of West Africa (Sierra Leone, C�te d'Ivoire and now Liberia), the UN is in a unique position to drive events.

Liberia: Security Challenges, the latest report from the International Crisis Group, analyses the immediate security threats facing the UN Mission in Liberia (UNMIL) as its force builds up to full strength to become the international body's biggest peacekeeping operation. The key to meeting those threats is a comprehensive regional security strategy.

"With three UN missions in West Africa, the UN and the wider international community have an opportunity that must not be missed to design and implement a truly regional approach to West Africa's insecurity", says Comfort Ero, ICG's West Africa Project Director.

The forced departure of former president Charles Taylor on 11 August 2003, after six years of tyranny, offers Liberians a chance to reconstruct their country. The arrival of a United Nations force with a robust mandate is welcome by all who want to see peace in West Africa.

Creating that peace will not be easy. It will be several months before the UN has enough troops on the ground to go much beyond Monrovia to put an end to the fighting and marauding that has continued. Liberia is a broken state whose key infrastructure, physical and social, has been destroyed by years of fighting and self-interested political leadership that goes far beyond the person of Charles Taylor. While Taylor's troops may be in disarray, the former insurgents, Liberians United for Reconciliation and Democracy (LURD) and the Movement for Democracy in Liberia (MODEL), remain in offensive mode. A generation under the age of eighteen has become all too familiar with survival through the gun.

The starting point must be disarmament of fighters in Liberia, but the UN should develop an integrated approach also to monitor and disarm combatants who cross from Liberia to Sierra Leone and C�te d'Ivoire. Regional stability requires stopping the flow of marauding fighters who migrate from conflict to conflict.

In the very near term, there may also be need for coordinated international action to persuade President Gbagbo against returning to war in C�te d'Ivoire, and Nigeria to prevent Charles Taylor from resuming his mischief in Liberia and elsewhere in the region.

The U.S. needs to make up for the premature departure of its small force of Marines on 1 October, when the UN formally took over in Monrovia, by becoming more engaged. This means, in particular, making clear it maintains an "over the horizon" military intervention capacity to back UNMIL in an emergency and conducting a full-scale training program for the new Liberian armed forces. Visible U.S. support is essential for a successful donors' conference, now expected to be held in December 2003.

"Liberia is at the heart of an unstable region", says Stephen Ellis, ICG's Director of Africa Program. "Unless UNMIL is properly supported and the UN missions in West Africa are effectively integrated, the country may well lapse into a permanent state of semi-peace/semi-war that will continue to destabilize the region".


Liberia: Security Challenges

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS

Whether Liberia takes advantage of its best chance for peace in years and West Africa regains stability depends on bold action by the UN, which needs to shape a comprehensive regional security strategy while rapidly building its peacekeeping force up to strength.

The forced departure of former president Charles Taylor on 11 August 2003 after six years of tyranny offers Liberians a chance to reconstruct their country. The arrival of a United Nations force with a robust mandate, which will soon develop into the international body's biggest peacekeeping operation, is welcome by all who want to see peace in West Africa. But creating that peace will not be easy. Liberia is a broken state whose key infrastructure, physical and social, has been destroyed by years of fighting and self-interested political leadership and turmoil that goes far beyond the person of Charles Taylor. A generation under the age of eighteen has become all too familiar with survival through the gun, and problems in neighbouring countries, particularly C�te d'Ivoire, mean that the drive to create peace is taking place in an environment of insecurity.

Pressing questions concern the forces that were deployed in Liberia's most recent round of war, in mid-2003. While Taylor's troops are in disarray, Liberians United for Reconciliation and Democracy (LURD) and the Movement for Democracy in Liberia (MODEL) remain in offensive mode. They were armed and organised with considerable assistance from Guinea and C�te d'Ivoire respectively. Many in the region wonder what their future will be in the new circumstances.

Another important question concerns the U.S., which has long historical ties to Liberia and gave tacit backing to the forces deployed against Charles Taylor in mid-2003 to force him from power. Continuing U.S. attention is necessary not only if Liberia is to have a chance of rebuilding, but also to prevent previously proxy forces from causing new problems either there or in other parts of the region.

The UN Mission in Liberia (UNMIL) will struggle throughout the remainder of 2003 to organise itself on the ground. Until its military and police forces reach full strength, it will be vulnerable to pressure from a variety of sources inside Liberia, including both former insurgent groups, as well as members of the new National Transitional Government, many of whom have strong connections with the warring factions. This report analyses the immediate security threats UNMIL faces and recommends steps that should be taken by various parties. A subsequent study will examine longer-term issues concerned with the rebuilding of Liberia.

Liberia is at the heart of an unstable region. One neighbour, Sierra Leone, continues a rather uncertain peace process following eleven years of war, and the common border remains a concern. Another neighbour, C�te d'Ivoire, has settled into a situation of neither war nor peace but there are worrisome signs of a resumption of the fighting. Guinea is on the brink of political instability as the career of President Lansana Cont� moves towards a close without any clear provision for succession, notwithstanding presidential elections on 21 December 2003. West Africa contains large numbers of small arms and is home to a floating population of veterans from multiple conflicts who are available to fight for anyone who will pay and give a licence to loot.

With three peacekeeping missions along the coast (Sierra Leone, C�te d'Ivoire and now Liberia), the UN has a considerable opportunity to drive events. The starting point must be the disarmament of fighters in Liberia but the UN should develop an integrated approach with its three West Africa missions aimed at capturing the weapons of many fighters in Liberia both foreigners and nationals and tracking the movement of others in the region, especially those who escape the initial disarmament. Its peacekeepers in Sierra Leone and C�te d'Ivoire should properly monitor and be ready to disarm combatants who cross from Liberia. Regional stability depends largely on stopping the flow of marauding fighters who migrate from conflict to conflict but in the very near term there may be need for coordinated international action to persuade President Gbagbo against returning to war in C�te d'Ivoire and Nigeria to prevent Charles Taylor from resuming his mischief in Liberia and elsewhere in the region.

Recommendations:

To the UN Security Council:

1. Work to create an integrated structure for administering the UN mandates in the neighbouring countries of C�te d'Ivoire, Liberia and Sierra Leone.

2. Design and implement a plan for regional disarmament applicable to all three countries.

3. In pursuit of its previously expressed "readiness to consider, if necessary, ways of promoting compliance" with its demands that all states in the region end their military support to armed groups in Liberia, impose targeted sanctions on the leaders of those states found not in compliance.

4. Create a timetable for the phased lifting of sanctions on Liberia, ensuring at the same time that there is proper management of key government revenue generators like the timber industry, and concurrently strengthen the capabilities of the UN Panel of Experts on Liberia to monitor through forensic auditing the flow of revenue from strategic resources such as timber and the Liberia Ship and Corporate Registry.

To the U.S.:

5. Make clear that it maintains an 'over the horizon' military intervention capacity and is willing to deploy it to support the UN mission (UNMIL) in an emergency.

6. Conduct a full-scale training program for the new Liberian armed forces that are to emerge as militias and private armies are disbanded.

To donors:

7. Ensure that UNMIL is fully funded, most particularly its disarmament and reintegration program.

To the UN Mission in Liberia (UNMIL):

8. Consult with the International Criminal Court in The Hague on the collection and utilisation of evidence on war crimes and crimes against humanity, and make clear to the leaders of the former warring parties that they will face quick retribution if they violate the Accra peace agreement.
To Nigeria:

9. Stress to Charles Taylor that he must strictly adhere to the conditions of his asylum and avoid all further involvement in the affairs of Liberia and that if he does not, Nigeria will extradite him to Sierra Leone to face the war crimes indictment issued against him by that country's Special Court. To the UN Mission in Sierra Leone (UNAMSIL):

10. Reinforce security along the border between Sierra Leone and Liberia with a view to preventing the passage of unauthorised persons bearing arms and work with Sierra Leone's army and police to ensure that combatants who have fought in Liberia are disarmed before entering Sierra Leone.

Freetown/Brussels, 3 November 2003


Human Rights Watch
http://www.hrw.org

Liberia: Guinea Flouts Arms Embargo U.N. Security Council Member Facilitates Atrocities

http://www.hrw.org/press/2003/11/liberia110503.htm

(New York, November 5, 2003) "The government of Guinea violated the United Nations arms embargo on Liberia and supplied weapons that Liberian rebels used to commit atrocities," Human Rights Watch charged in a briefing paper released today. On Thursday the U.N. Security Council, of which Guinea is an elected member, is due to review the sanctions regime on Liberia, which is in force until May.

"It's appalling that Guinea - a current member of the Security Council - has flouted the arms embargo on Liberia," said Lisa Misol, arms researcher with Human Rights Watch. "The Security Council must hold Guinea accountable for this major breach."

The briefing paper, Weapons Sanctions, Military Supplies, and Human Suffering: Illegal Arms Flows to Liberia and the June-July 2003 Shelling of Monrovia, documents the bloody assault on Liberia's capital, Monrovia. The Guinea-backed rebel group, Liberians United for Reconciliation and Democracy (LURD), fought forces loyal to Liberian President Charles Taylor. In the final offensive in July, LURD indiscriminately shelled civilian areas. Scores of people were killed, and at least 2,000 more - overwhelmingly civilians - were injured.

Human Rights Watch investigated the supply of the mortar rounds fired by LURD, which accounted for many of the casualties, and found that the rebel offensive was possible only because fresh arms supplies arrived through Guinea. Guinea's Ministry of Defense ordered mortars and other ammunition from Iran and arranged their onward transport to LURD.

"Guinea has blood on its hands," said Misol. "By supplying munitions to the Liberian rebels, it not only breached an arms embargo, but also became complicit in egregious violations of the laws of war."

One of the areas of central Monrovia hit worst in the shelling was the U.S. Embassy compound, where thousands of displaced people sought refuge. The U.S. government traced some of the mortar rounds to Guinea, which is a recipient of U.S. military aid. Human Rights Watch called for a suspension of U.S. and other military assistance to Guinea, in light of its longstanding ties to LURD and reports that arms continue to flow across the Guinea border for use by the rebels - despite the embargo.

On Thursday the Security Council will discuss a report by a U.N. panel of experts investigating sanctions-busting in Liberia. The panel repeatedly has raised suspicions about Guinea's role in the Liberian civil war. In the briefing paper, Human Rights Watch directly implicates Guinea's Ministry of Defense in illicit arms supplies to Liberia.

The former government of Charles Taylor and a second rebel group, the Movement for Democracy in Liberia (MODEL), both of which like LURD have a dismal human rights record, also were able to obtain weapons despite the arms embargo, often with the help of regional allies. In August a flight carrying an arms shipment for Taylor's government was intercepted in Monrovia. The seized container was recently opened, and more than 22 tons of small arms and munitions were found.

"The Liberia example shows that arms embargoes are only as good as their enforcement," Misol noted. "Liberia's fragile peace depends on a reinvigorated response to sanctions-busting on all sides."

A peace deal for Liberia was signed in August after Taylor left for exile in Nigeria. A transitional government of national unity took power in Liberia on October 14. The warring factions have committed to disarm, but skirmishes have broken out and the potential for renewed hostilities remains.

The full text of the Human Rights Watch briefing paper is available at http://hrw.org/backgrounder/arms/liberia.


Liberia Needs $177 M in Aid for 2004, UN Official Says

UN Integrated Regional Information Networks
http://www.irinnews.org

[This material comes from IRIN, a UN humanitarian information unit, but may not necessarily reflect the views of the United Nations or its agencies. If you re-print, copy, archive or re-post this item, please retain this credit and disclaimer.]

Abidjan, November 10, 2003

The United Nations will appeal to donors later this month for US $177 million of humanitarian aid for Liberia in 2004, the UN Mission in Liberia (UNMIL) said in a statement.

Ahunna Eziakonwa, head of the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) in Liberia, told a group of Abidjan-based diplomats who visited the Liberian capital Monrovia on Friday that the appeal would be launched in Ottawa, Canada, on 19 November, the statement said.

It quoted Eziakonwa as saying the Consolidated Inter-agency Appeal for $40 million of emergency food aid and $137 million for a variety of other relief projects would be followed up by a donor conference in January.

Eziakonwa said the funds would be used for health, nutrition, agriculture, water and sanitation, and education programmes, protection and human rights, and to support disarmament, demobilisation and reintegration of combatants.

Following a peace agreement signed on 18 August, the UN plans to start demobilising and disarming the estimated 38,000 former combatants in Liberia's civil war in early December. The process is due for completion in April next year.

Representatives from Canada, China, the European Union, Ghana, Germany, Great Britain, Japan, Lebanon, the Netherlands, the United States and the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) took part in the one-day trip to Monrovia.

Last Monday, the Brussels-based think tank, International Crisis Group (ICG), warned that the period from now until the start of disarmament in Liberia was the most critical part of the war-ravaged country's peace-process.

The ICG warned that it would be difficult to secure peace in Liberia without the compliance of all three warring factions: fighters loyal to former Charles Taylor, Liberians United for Reconciliation and Democracy (LURD) and the Movement for Democracy in Liberia (MODEL).

A broad-based transitional government led by businessman Gyude Bryant was sworn in on 14 October to lead Liberia to fresh elections in 2005, but it has inherited empty coffers and debts of more than US $3.0 billion.

Taylor has been granted political asylum by Nigeria even though he is wanted for war crimes by a court in Sierra Leone. The US government has announced a $2 million reward to whoever can deliver Taylor to the court.


AfricaFocus Bulletin is a free independent electronic publication providing reposted commentary and analysis on African issues, with a particular focus on U.S. and international policies. AfricaFocus Bulletin is edited by William Minter.

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