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Note: This document is from the archive of the Africa Policy E-Journal, published by the Africa Policy Information Center (APIC) from 1995 to 2001 and by Africa Action from 2001 to 2003. APIC was merged into Africa Action in 2001. Please note that many outdated links in this archived document may not work.


Central Africa: Nzongola-Ntalaja Speech, 2

Central Africa: Nzongola-Ntalaja Speech, 2 Date distributed (ymd): 981111
Document reposted by APIC

+++++++++++++++++++++Document Profile+++++++++++++++++++++

Region: Central Africa
Issue Areas: +political/rights+ +economy/development+ +security/peace+
Summary Contents:
This posting contains the second part of a slightly condensed version of a speech by Georges Nzongola-Ntalaja on the crisis in the Great Lakes region, with particular emphasis on the conflict in the Democratic Republic of Congo.

+++++++++++++++++end profile++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

(continued from part 1)

Unfortunately, Lumumba remained in power for less than three months. Right after independence, the Congo was plunged into a major crisis, following the mutiny of the former colonial army and the secession of Katanga, its richest province. The Congo Crisis, as it was known, lasted four years and involved up to then the largest deployment of United Nations peacekeeping forces. ...

The main beneficiary of the Congo Crisis and the man the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and policymakers identified as the strongman needed to rule the Congo was none other than Joseph-Desire Mobutu. A former sergeant in the colonial army, he was appointed Chief of Staff of the Congolese National Army in July 1960 by Prime Minister Lumumba. Having betrayed his mentor and served his foreign masters well, Mobutu finally took over as head of state in a military coup d'etat in 1965. ...

In 32 years of absolute power, Mobutu and his henchmen ruined the country by destroying its economic and social fabric and making it the laughingstock of the whole world. Mobutu put an end to the democratic experiment of the first five years of Congo's existence as an independent state. His dictatorship was backed by military force and a party-state system from which he recruited his cronies and retainers internally, and by the United States, France and Belgium, externally. When they were needed, the three external powers intervened militarily to save the dictator from armed insurgents seeking to overthrow him. In 1996-97, when that support did not materialize, Mobutu could no longer hang on to power. He was forced to flee the country. And he died in exile less that four months later, in September 1997.

Before Mobutu's demise, a movement for multiparty democracy had arisen under the leadership of Etienne Tshisekedi wa Mulumba in 1980, to help pull the country out of the unending political and economic crisis in which the dictator had plunged it. By 1991, the leaders of the democracy movement had rejected Mobutu's plans to set up a constitutional conference and insisted on the holding of a Sovereign National Conference. Following the example set earlier that year in Benin, national conferences had become popular in Africa as democratic forums of all the relevant social forces of a nation designed to take stock of what has gone wrong in the past and to chart a new course for the future.

National conferences were conceived as a combination of a truth and reconciliation commission and a constitutional commission to serve as both a forum for a national catharsis in the African tradition of conflict resolution through the palaver, and a modern rule of law mechanism for setting into motion a successful transition to democracy. They were also seen to be all the more critical in countries like Congo-Kinshasa, which lacked the minimum infrastructure for free and fair elections. The conference, whose decisions are meant to be binding on all parties or groups, was therefore the most appropriate forum from which a transitional government could emerge to prepare the way for multiparty elections and progress towards democracy.

In the Congo, the Sovereign National Conference (Conference Nationale Souveraine, CNS) took place from 7 August 1991 and 6 December 1992 in Kinshasa. For progressive forces, it was the most appropriate arena for the transfer of power from the forces of the status quo to those of change, from the agents of external powers to nationalist leaders committed to seeing the country recover its full sovereignty, which constitutes the sine qua non of raising the standard of living of the popular masses. Unfortunately, Mobutu's resistance to change and monumental errors by the opposition combined to make the conference fail with respect to one of its primary missions, namely, the establishment of an orderly and non-violent transition to democracy. At the same time, the CNS has left a legacy of freedom, popular resistance to illegitimate authority, commitment to political openness, diversity and the rule of law.

The Fall of Mobutu and Kabila's Rise to Power

The failure of the democratic transition in the Congo was part of a violent backlash of authoritarian regimes against the democracy movement in a number of African countries, including Rwanda and Burundi. In the Rwanda case, the late President Juvenal Habyarimana, a Hutu, had been in power since 1973. During 20 years of personal rule, he steadfastly refused to allow Tutsi victims of the 1959 pogrom and subsequent violence, who were in exile in neighboring countries, to return home. Under the leadership of the Rwandese Patriotic Front (RPF), the Tutsi diaspora in Uganda launched a military campaign to overthrow the Habyarimana regime in October 1990. France, Belgium and Mobutu's Zaire came to the dictator's rescue and prevented a RPF victory.

Under the auspices of the Organization of African Unity (OAU), negotiations over two years between Habyarimana's government and the RPF to end the civil war led to the signing of the Arusha accords in 1993. These included the Arusha Peace Agreement of 4 August 1993, a cease-fire agreement, and six Protocols on the rule of law, power sharing, repatriation of refugees and resettlement of displaced persons, integration of armed forces and other issues. In spite of having signed these accords, President Habyarimana did his best to undermine them, and this played into the hands of Hutu extremists bent on exterminating the Tutsi.

The shooting down of Habyarimana's plane on 6 April 1994 gave these extremists the occasion they needed to unleash their genocidal machine against the Tutsi and moderate Hutu. With nearly a million people killed, the genocide ended in July after the RPF military victory and seizure of power in Kigali. France's supposedly humanitarian Operation Turquoise (June-August 1994) saved the Hutu genocide machine, which was made up of the defeated Forces Armees Rwandaises (FAR) and the Interahamwe militia, by helping them to escape with virtually all of their weapons into the UNHCR refugee camps in the Congo. There, they were able to regroup to stage repeated raids into Rwanda against the RPF regime. It was precisely the Rwandan initiative to destroy the Hutu refugee camps and, consequently, the military bases of the ex-FAR and the Hutu extremist militia in the Congo, that helped propel Laurent Kabila to power in Kinshasa.

According to his interviews with the Washington Post (9 July 1997) and with Ugandan Professor Mahmood Mamdani (Mail and Guardian, 8 August 1997), General Paul Kagame, the Rwandan strongman, stated in no uncertain terms that the seven month war leading to Mobutu's overthrow was planned in Kigali and led by Rwandan military officers. This is not surprising, since Mr. Kabila had no credible autonomous organization and no coherent social project or political programme. He was recalled from his business ventures by the coalition of states led by Rwanda and Uganda with the aim of ending the Mobutu dictatorship, to provide a Congolese facade for what was actually an external military intervention. Much is made of the role of Congolese Tutsi known as Banyamulenge. If it is true that their rebellion against expulsion orders by Kivu provincial authorities did play a critical role in the outbreak of the war, they represent such a tiny minority that by themselves, they are incapable of sustaining a major military operation across our vast country.

I applauded and continue to defend the role that Uganda, Rwanda, Angola, Eritrea and others played in removing Mobutu from power. The fact that Mobutu's own army hardly fought to keep its master in power is a clear demonstration of how discredited the regime had become in the eyes of the people. However, in asserting their Pan-African right of intervention to help free the Congolese people from oppression, the external coalition made a serious error. This consisted in handpicking Kabila as the leader to replace Mobutu. A national leader, as Nelson Mandela declared in 1990 when he got out of jail, is chosen at a national conference. He or she should not be chosen by foreign governments or be self-proclaimed. What needed to be done was to convene a roundtable of Congolese patriots and democrats so they could choose the leader and a broad-based government of national unity.

Having no solid political base in the country, Kabila established personal rule based on nepotism, cronyism and hero worship, and characterized by incompetence and general lack of political direction. Instead of a national leader with vision for the country's future, he gave the impression of a leader cut off from the people and relying primarily on a small circle of associates chosen on the basis of family, ethnic or clientelist ties. Moreover, he sought to turn the clock backwards politically, by denying the significance and legacy of the Sovereign National Conference, banning political activity and jailing opposition leaders, and attempting to close the space of democratic freedom and civil liberties that the people of the Congo had dearly won against the decadent Mobutu dictatorship.

The Current War in the Congo

The current war is a function of both external and internal factors. The external factor relates to the national security interests that Rwanda and Uganda have with respect to the northeastern region of the Congo. These interests include issues of cross-border violence as well as economic and geopolitical stakes, which led the two countries to support the war of liberation against the Mobutu regime in 1996-97. Today, the two countries seem determined to impose a weak regime in Kinshasa, one that would not question their control over the eastern part of the country and its considerable natural wealth, now being openly exploited by their political authorities and businesspeople. As for Kabila's new allies, the defense of international law and OAU principles is a convenient pretext for their own economic and geopolitical calculations. The case of Zimbabwe is particularly revealing in this regard.*

Having led the military operations against the old regime, Rwandan military officers and many of their soldiers remained in the Congo to help Kabila secure his rule. For over a year, President Kabila kept a Rwandan officer, Commander James Kabarebe, as chief of staff of the national army, the Forces Armees Congolaises (FAC). With Rwandan nationals and Congolese Tutsi with close ties to the Rwandan leadership occupying high level positions in the DRC, Rwandan authorities could be assured that their interests were being protected. As for Uganda, joint patrols by its army and Congolese troops on the Congo side of the border helped to strengthen its attempt to stop infiltration by armed militias based in the DRC.

This arrangement came apart as both Rwanda and Uganda became dissatisfied with mounting incursions by rebels operating from the Congo, and with what they perceived as lack of concern for their security by President Kabila. If it is true that these two countries, like Burundi and Angola, have legitimate security interests along their borders with the Congo, they cannot place all the blame for continued insecurity on Kabila. After all, what prevented the mysterious "Commander James" and the other Rwandan commanders in the FAC from working with Rwanda to ensure the latter's security? As for Uganda, which actually had troops inside the DRC, is Kabila to blame for the Ugandan army's failure to stop rebel infiltrations?

These questions suggest that the security issue as narrowly defined with respect to rebel infiltrations does not in itself explain the determination of Kabila's former allies to dump him. His erratic style of leadership, the animosity towards him by the United States, the major external partner of both Kampala and Kigali, and his own desire to play the nationalistic card to win popular support at home, must have played a role. There is evidence that a palace coup was attempted against Kabila, and this resulted in an irretrievable breakup of the 1996 alliance. President Kabila's decision on 27 July 1998 to send all Rwandan officers and troops home triggered the flight from Kinshasa of virtually all Congolese Tutsi senior officials. On the 2nd of August, less than a week later, a rebellion aimed at ousting him from power with the support of both Rwanda and Uganda, was launched.

Internally, the war has a lot to do with the failure of the Kabila regime to meet the people's expectations that his regime will be radically different from Mobutu's dictatorship. The rebels' declared grievances against Kabila are shared by many segments of the Congolese population. However, their sponsorship by Rwanda and Uganda and the fact that close collaborators of former President Mobutu are found in their ranks, have diminished their political credibility, in spite of the fact that they are led by such highly respected intellectuals as Ernest Wamba-dia-Wamba and Jacques Depelchin. If they do win the war militarily, they will find it difficult to govern a basically hostile population, which perceives them as agents of foreign powers. In spite of their good intentions, they will have a lot of difficulty freeing themselves from their cumbersome Rwandan military allies.

The widening of the war with the intervention of Angola, Zimbabwe, Namibia and others on the side of the Kabila regime has created a situation that may degenerate into a larger regional war in Central Africa. The longer it continues, the more suffering it will inflict on innocent civilians, who are daily subject to gross violations of human rights, including crimes against humanity. This is particularly the case with respect to incitement to ethnic hatred and genocide against the Tutsi by Congolese officials.

Conclusion

There is no military solution to the current war in the Congo. Given their evident limitations in capacity, all the parties to the conflict cannot sustain a long and costly war. Even Angola, the militarily strongest of all the belligerents, cannot afford to stretch its resources too thin by embarking on an all-out conquest of the territories lost by the Kabila regime in the eastern region of the counry. A political solution is needed, and this is possible only after genuine negotiations towards a cease-fire.

So far, efforts to obtain a cease-fire have failed because of the contested status of the Rassemblement Congolais pour la Democratie (RCD), the rebel alliance, and Rwanda's denial of its involvement in the war. Not only does the RCD have to be included as a genuinely Congolese party to the conflict, but Rwanda must also acknowledge its own involvement in it. Without these two realities being acknowledged by all concerned, negotiations towards a cease-fire are doomed to failure. Why should the RCD accept to stop fighting if it is not a party to the negotiations? And how can Rwanda withdraw troops that supposedly are not on Congolese territory?

Once a cease-fire is achieved, it must be followed by the withdrawal of all foreign troops and the deployment of a small African or international force to monitor the peace accords. However, the establishment of a durable peace in the Congo can come only through a lasting political solution to the internal and external challenges facing the country. Internally, there is a need for a more inclusive government, and one that will reconcile the revolutionary legacy of the AFDL destitution of the Mobutu regime with the democratic legacy of the Sovereign National Conference. National reconciliation and the transition from personal rule to the rule of law must be accompanied by ending impunity, introducing transparency in public finances, creating a truly national army to replace paramilitary and militia forces, and strengthening state institutions to enhance their capacity for national reconstruction and economic development. This process must include the protection of the space of democratic freedom and civil liberties gained since 1990. Without freedom, reconstruction and development, any talk of an African renaissance is meaningless.

Externally, the DRC must strengthen its capacity to police its borders so as to take into account the legitimate security interests of its neighbors. Rebels from Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Angola should not be allowed to use Congolese soil for armed raids into their respective countries. The best safeguards for these countries' security interests is the presence of an inclusive government in Kinshasa, backed up by a modest but well trained professional army whose members are drawn from all over the national territory. The test of the neighbors' commitment to Pan-Africanism and the African renaissance will be the degree to which they put African interests ahead of their commitments to external partners.

Finally, an all-parties conference is needed as the most appropriate forum for resolving the crisis of transition in the Congo. This involves the adoption of a legal and institutional framework of transition. Such a framework should include a provisional constitution, defining the length of the transition, its priority tasks, and the institutions that will carry them out; a minimum government programme of action for the transitional period; and a national unity government to implement this programme and help other transitional institutions fulfill their tasks.

I appeal to all of you and through you, to the South African government, to give strong support to this idea of an all-parties conference as an indispensable step for resolving the present crisis in the Congo.

Thank you for your attention.

Georges Nzongola-Ntalaja

* See Robert Block's article, "Zimbabwe's Elite Turn Strife in Nearby Congo Into a Quest for Riches," The Wall Street Journal, 9 October 1998.


This material is being reposted for wider distribution by the Africa Policy Information Center (APIC). APIC's primary objective is to widen the policy debate in the United States around African issues and the U.S. role in Africa, by concentrating on providing accessible policy-relevant information and analysis usable by a wide range of groups and individuals.


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